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2025-01-01 TYPE: NEWSLETTER

[LIVE] 🏠 Adam's House View: December 10, 2025

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Strategic Allocation Update

Asset Class Stance



| Asset Class | View | Trend | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Equities (US) | NEUTRAL | ➡️ | | Equities (EM) | UNDERWEIGHT | ↘️ | | Fixed Income | OVERWEIGHT | ↗️ | | Commodities | BULLISH | ↗️ | | Crypto | ACCUMULATE | ↗️ |

Core Convictions



1. AI Hardware: Peak margins passed, moving to software differentiation. 2. Energy: Structural supply deficit meets AI demand shock. 3. Rates: Lower for longer is dead; higher for longer is the new normal.

Portfolio Positioning



* Cash: 15% (Dry powder for volatility) * Gold/Bitcoin: 10% (Debasement hedge) * High Quality Tech: 40% * Energy/Infra: 35%

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