Union Pacific (UNP)

Industrials | Equity Research | February 19, 2026

BUY

Target: $290.97

Price

$240.0

P/E Ratio

18.7x

EPS (2024)

$12.82

Div Yield

2.71%

Investment Thesis

Conviction: High

The company exhibits solid fundamentals with stable cash flow generation. Operational efficiency programs are yielding margin improvements. Union Pacific is positioned to benefit from secular tailwinds in the Industrials industry.

Risks: Macroeconomic volatility and interest rate sensitivity remain key risks. Competitive pressures in the sector could impact market share.

Financial Forecast (Billions)

Year 2022 (A) 2023 (A) 2024 (A) 2025 (E) 2026 (E) 2027 (E)
Revenue $188.6 $196.8 $202.0 $205.4 $210.1 $219.9
Consensus Rev - - - $196.5 $202.5 $213.1
System Rev - - - $212.1 $210.6 $231.6
EBITDA $39.2 $85.1 $60.5 $55.9 $91.7 $81.3
EPS $8.32 $18.05 $12.82 $11.85 $19.45 $17.25

Analyst Consensus

Breakdown: 22 Buy / 2 Hold / 3 Sell

The street remains generally buyish on the name.