Starbucks Corp. (SBUX)

Consumer Discretionary | Equity Research | February 19, 2026

BUY

Target: $102.51

Price

$85.0

P/E Ratio

6.2x

EPS (2024)

$13.82

Div Yield

2.47%

Investment Thesis

Conviction: High

The company exhibits solid fundamentals with stable cash flow generation. Operational efficiency programs are yielding margin improvements. Starbucks Corp. is positioned to benefit from secular tailwinds in the Consumer Discretionary industry.

Risks: Macroeconomic volatility and interest rate sensitivity remain key risks. Competitive pressures in the sector could impact market share.

Financial Forecast (Billions)

Year 2022 (A) 2023 (A) 2024 (A) 2025 (E) 2026 (E) 2027 (E)
Revenue $81.9 $86.1 $89.8 $94.8 $98.6 $101.3
Consensus Rev - - - $95.0 $103.1 $100.7
System Rev - - - $99.4 $105.3 $108.3
EBITDA $18.4 $25.0 $28.6 $41.8 $41.2 $39.3
EPS $8.87 $12.09 $13.82 $20.18 $19.9 $18.99

Analyst Consensus

Breakdown: 33 Buy / 7 Hold / 5 Sell

The street remains generally buyish on the name.