NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA)

Technology | Equity Research | February 19, 2026

HOLD

Target: $956.95

Price

$950.0

P/E Ratio

42.9x

EPS (2024)

$22.17

Div Yield

1.98%

Investment Thesis

Conviction: Low

NVIDIA is the undisputed leader in AI hardware. Data center revenue has exploded, and software margins are expanding. NVIDIA Corp. is positioned to benefit from secular tailwinds in the Technology industry.

Risks: Sustainability of demand at current levels is debated. Export controls to China impact a significant portion of potential addressable market.

Financial Forecast (Billions)

Year 2022 (A) 2023 (A) 2024 (A) 2025 (E) 2026 (E) 2027 (E)
Revenue $2011.8 $2300.1 $2594.5 $2989.5 $3473.2 $3993.4
Consensus Rev - - - $3059.3 $3321.1 $4010.8
System Rev - - - $3124.1 $3717.5 $4220.7
EBITDA $717.2 $546.7 $1001.9 $972.4 $1225.5 $1323.5
EPS $15.87 $12.1 $22.17 $21.52 $27.12 $29.29

Analyst Consensus

Breakdown: 19 Buy / 21 Hold / 8 Sell

The street remains generally holdish on the name.