Microsoft Corp. (MSFT)

Technology | Equity Research | February 19, 2026

BUY

Target: $495.7

Price

$405.0

P/E Ratio

32.0x

EPS (2024)

$12.64

Div Yield

2.11%

Investment Thesis

Conviction: Medium

Microsoft's Azure cloud division is gaining market share, driven by AI integration. Copilot adoption across the Office suite provides a new recurring revenue stream. Microsoft Corp. is positioned to benefit from secular tailwinds in the Technology industry.

Risks: Enterprise spending slowdowns could impact shorter-term bookings. AI infrastructure costs are significant and may weigh on margins initially.

Financial Forecast (Billions)

Year 2022 (A) 2023 (A) 2024 (A) 2025 (E) 2026 (E) 2027 (E)
Revenue $402.5 $432.3 $468.4 $499.3 $537.1 $583.3
Consensus Rev - - - $503.2 $536.7 $562.7
System Rev - - - $491.5 $559.8 $621.4
EBITDA $176.3 $175.6 $125.3 $109.6 $235.6 $117.2
EPS $17.79 $17.72 $12.64 $11.06 $23.78 $11.82

Analyst Consensus

Breakdown: 15 Buy / 5 Hold / 5 Sell

The street remains generally buyish on the name.