2026-02-25 CONVICTION_REPORT

Conviction Report: Applied Materials (AMAT)

The Foundry Floor

Executive Summary

While software AI plays (SaaS) are faltering, the hardware layer remains robust. AMAT is the pick-and-shovel play for the Sovereign AI capex boom.

Foundry Dominance

Every new fab built in Arizona or Germany requires AMAT tools. The backlog is at record levels.

Verdict: STRONG BUY

The safest way to play the AI Supercycle.

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